Deterministic 0–30 day economic-strain early warning for Türkiye.
Live dashboard: https://monarchcastletech.github.io/tr-economic-sentiment/
python -m pip install -r requirements.txt
python pipeline/tr_economic_sentiment_pipeline.py
python -m unittest discover -s tests -v
python -m http.server 8000Open http://localhost:8000. Direct file:// access cannot fetch data/output.json in modern browsers.
GitHub Actions refreshes five public-data channels every six hours, tests the deterministic model, commits the machine-readable snapshot, and deploys GitHub Pages. No account, API key, paid feed, or language model is required.
Weighted channels: TCMB lira dislocation (30%), TRY-priced Brent pressure (25%), IMF reserve-buffer pressure (20%), OECD consumer-confidence deterioration (15%), and fixed-query narrative strain (10%). Full equations, missing-data policy, warning bands, and reproduction instructions are on the methodology page.
Source availability varies. The dashboard identifies its generation time and operating mode in data/output.json. Treat indicators as decision-support signals, not verified ground truth.
Part of Monarch Castle Technologies. See BRAND.md for approved asset use.