HF14: Prediction Markets - #124

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On1x wants to merge 179 commits into

Commits on Jun 16, 2026

feat(pm plan): add opt-in batch and commit-reveal betting modes for front-running protection
On1x
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a3e370a

Commits on Jun 21, 2026

feat(pm docs): add Prediction Market params (HF14) and leverage risk-off strategy
On1x
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49537c8
docs(pm-workflow): add detailed prediction market workflow documentation by role
On1x
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b8f5668
chore(thirdparty): update fc submodule to latest commit
On1x
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d5d6139
chore(deps): add mermaid and related plugins to devDependencies
On1x
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6f35a1e
feat(hardfork): add support for hardfork 14 in prediction markets
On1x
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5129103
feat(pm): integrate Prediction Markets core logic and HF14 support
On1x
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c270e0a
feat(prediction_market_api): add prediction market plugin with extensive APIs
On1x
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7c7847d
feat(snapshot): add import support for HF14 Prediction Market objects
On1x
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aede61e
feat(wallet): add HF14 prediction market API support
On1x
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adaf945
feat(vizd): add prediction_market_api plugin registration
On1x
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4b3d7d5
test(pm): add comprehensive prediction-market lifecycle integration tests
On1x
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7155a0c
feat(prediction-markets): add HF14 prediction markets and v5 chain properties support
On1x
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3ccc9e9
docs(prediction-markets): add prediction market API plugin documentation
On1x
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7910da4

Commits on Jul 2, 2026

Commits on Jul 5, 2026

Commits on Jul 6, 2026

Commits on Jul 9, 2026

pm_api: add list_markets_awaiting_resolution(oracle, from, limit)
On1x
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52acb25

Commits on Jul 10, 2026

Commits on Jul 11, 2026

Commits on Jul 12, 2026

Commits on Jul 13, 2026

pm-api: aggregate per-oracle listing risk floor + apply to category/event listings
On1x
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bf6897f

Commits on Jul 14, 2026

Commits on Jul 15, 2026

Commits on Jul 21, 2026

Commits on Jul 27, 2026

Commits on Jul 28, 2026

pm(#266): idempotent corrective re-seed of frozen counters (fix over-count)
On1x
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3c96237

Commits on Jul 30, 2026

prediction_market_api: list_markets order='expiration' — global soonest-closing feed (by_betting_expiration, still-open only)
On1x
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08369b5

Commits on Jul 31, 2026

snapshot: carry PM metadata across snapshots (DLT-safe, config-optional)
On1x
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413729b

Commits on Aug 3, 2026

Commits on Aug 4, 2026

Commits on Aug 5, 2026

Merge master (Boost 1.83->1.9x migration) into pm
On1x
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e405a67

Commits on Aug 6, 2026

Merge master into pm (Windows fix #133, p2p self-connection #134, validator handbook + seed config #135)
On1x
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0b6d09d
feat(pm): dispute lifecycle in oracle account history (P1 oracle-metrics)
On1x
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d894341
feat(pm): per-oracle workload gauges (P2 oracle-metrics)
On1x
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97e7112
feat(pm): oracle-disputes & in-dispute-window read APIs (P3 oracle-metrics data)
On1x
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a6752b1
feat(pm): reliability_score v2 (P4 oracle-metrics)
On1x
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75a0564
feat(pm): oracle resolution-timeliness metrics (P5 part 1)
On1x
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3a95ddb
feat(pm): resolution-latency histogram + p50/p95 (P5 part 2, completes P5)
On1x
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cbc0c5a
fix(snapshot): import pm_oracle oracle-metrics fields (P1-P5)
Denis Skripnik
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433e6a5
fix(pm): compute avg_resolution_time running mean in uint128
Denis Skripnik
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d8b43d9
feat(pm): weave timeliness into reliability_score v2 (variant A)
On1x
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2eb0870
docs(pm): document oracle-metrics P1-P5 (gauges, latency, reliability v2.1)
On1x
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e054a56
Merge pull request #136 from web3blind/fix/pm-oracle-metrics-snapshot-import
On1x
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d0f7294
Merge pull request #137 from web3blind/fix/pm-avg-resolution-time-uint128
On1x
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104090f

Commits on Aug 7, 2026

Commits on Aug 8, 2026

fix(pm): stop batch-epoch settle from starving markets behind the processing cap
Denis Skripnik
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e0ffb0c
pm(early-exit): add pm_early_exit_reward_cap_percent chain param + design spec (F1/#300)
On1x
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d4bbdb4
pm(early-exit): scaffold pm_deferred_claim_object (F1/#300)
On1x
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39fc24b
pm(early-exit): settlement claim-distribution pass (F1/#300, inert)
On1x
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e95dd46
pm(early-exit): exit paths record deferred claims (F1/#300) — money logic closed
On1x
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0bfc84e
pm(early-exit): claim-paid vop + get_deferred_claims read API (F1/#300)
On1x
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3706074
fix(pm): round-robin batch-epoch settle + idle fast-path (follow-up to #139)
chiliec
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de1f796
Merge pull request #140 from VIZ-Blockchain/fix/pm-batch-settle-followup
On1x
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b4c041e
fix(pm): clamp leverage pot_retained at 0 to preserve no-uncovered guarantee
Denis Skripnik
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3becf1d
Merge pull request #141 from web3blind/fix/pm-leverage-negative-forfeit
On1x
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09dd3b6
pm(F1): loud uncovered diagnostic (#348) + bound deferred-claim loop (#349)
On1x
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8faafe6

Commits on Aug 9, 2026

Commits on Aug 10, 2026

Commits on Aug 11, 2026

Commits on Aug 12, 2026

Commits on Aug 13, 2026