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docs(ultraplan): record the four owner rulings (v0.2.0) and the E1 result (v0.2.1) - #1309

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@hyperpolymath hyperpolymath commented Oct 19, 2026 •

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Summary

Follow-up to #1307, which merged the Kautz-ladder ultraplan at v0.1.0 with its four decisions still open. This PR:

  • records the rulings the owner gave through the selector on 2026-10-19 (v0.2.0);
  • records the first experiment result, E1, on 2026-10-20 (v0.2.1).

It changes one file, docs/ULTRAPLAN-KAUTZ-LADDER-2026-10-19.adoc.

Decision Ruled
Wave-1 build shape A, pons-native (the elegant arm; the recommendation was the hybrid C)
Paid neural reviewers Restrict and measure (as recommended)
VeriSimDB deployment target stapeln bundle on owned hardware (as recommended)
Unquarantine policy Policy interpreter first; exit 78 stays (the elegant arm; the recommendation was the ten-script allowlist)

Two rulings departed from the recommended arm. Under ADR-007 (elegance by default: label the departure), their consequences are written into the waves rather than absorbed:

  • Wave 1 becomes a two-quarter build with a stated rule order:

    1. consistency-pair and missing-doc-comment;
    2. the deferred document and template rules;
    3. Containerfile and Guix, as new grammars.

    The cicd-suite SARIF normaliser is kept only so existing composites and fleet report-backs reach the grid. E4 is the monthly check that the credit leak is shrinking as rules land.

  • The ten idempotent fix scripts become the interpreter's first work orders rather than an allowlist. Wave 2 starts from E1 and the ESN schema fix, and retraining waits for true outcomes.

  • verisimdb's persistent-server-fly intent (in its Intentfile) is noted as superseded, for the owner to retire there. This PR touches no other repo.

v0.2.1, the E1 result: a new "Results so far" subsection.

Testing

Check Result
asciidoctor --failure-level WARN clean
bash scripts/run-debtfile.sh .machine_readable/Debtfile.a2ml todo-fixme-markers 84 (unchanged). deno-residue is the known main breach that WO-8 retires.
bash scripts/link-rot-guard.sh docs 278 lines, the same as before; no new BROKEN line
git diff --check clean

Not done

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

https://claude.ai/code/session_01PpQVLrCbURpoXtrdvy8V3B

Ruled through the selector: Wave 1 is pons-native (the elegant arm,
departing from the recommended hybrid); the paid neural reviewers are
restricted and measured; VeriSimDB's first instance is a stapeln bundle
on owned hardware; the fleet's policy interpreter comes before any script
leaves exit 78 (the elegant arm, departing from the recommended allowlist).

The two departures are written into the waves as consequences rather
than absorbed: Wave 1 becomes a two-quarter build with a stated rule
order and E4 as its monthly check; the ten idempotent scripts become the
interpreter's first work orders; Wave 2 starts from E1 and the ESN schema
fix while retraining waits for true outcomes. The Fly.io intent in the
verisimdb Intentfile is noted as superseded for the owner to retire there.

Validation unchanged: asciidoctor --failure-level WARN clean; Debtfile
todo-fixme-markers 84; link-rot-guard docs/ 278 before and after; git
diff --check clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01PpQVLrCbURpoXtrdvy8V3B
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DEED–K9 green

🟢 conformant · commit b4e5e9d17a13 · run 39431458600

Category Status Pass Fail Indeterminate N/A Since previous revision
DEED syntax 🟢 conformant 4 0 0 0 ↔ unchanged
K9 contract typecheck 🟢 conformant 1 0 0 0 ↔ unchanged
K9 validator self-test 🟢 conformant 37 0 0 0 ↔ unchanged
K9 positive/negative controls 🟢 conformant 27 0 0 0 ↔ unchanged
K9 live corpus (L0–L2) 🟢 conformant 12 0 0 2 ↔ unchanged
K9 live corpus (L0–L2): 2 finding(s) / scope notes
  • 2-protocols/k9-coordination/examples/minimal.k9 — not_applicable: Routed to another dialect; not validated as a K9 contract.
  • coordination.k9 — not_applicable: Routed to another dialect; not validated as a K9 contract.

Scope: DEED syntax and K9 contracts L0–L2. L3 signature verification and routed coordination dialects are not certified. Green is limited to this scope. Orange is missing evidence; grey is an explicit scope exclusion. Logs and report.json are in the dated conformance-evidence artifact on the linked run.

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Status: governance / Validate Hypatia Baseline (and the scan / Hypatia Neurosymbolic Analysis lane that reads the same scan) is red; not this PR's.

Read from the job log of run 39333517870 on head 9ee47d3d: the gate fails on exactly two unfiltered findings, both invalid_actions_lock (high) on .github/workflows/actions.lock — {:unsupported_version, "v0.0.3"} and actions.lock failed closed, the same pair recorded on #1307. The log mentions this PR's only file, docs/ULTRAPLAN-KAUTZ-LADDER-2026-10-19.adoc, zero times.

Cause and fix are as docs/reorg/2026-10-14-tidy/WORK-ORDERS-2026-10-19.adoc records: the pinned scanner (hypatia-ref 51ab6496) rejects the lock format #1300 regenerated; it clears when hyperpolymath/hypatia#927 or #928 merges and the hypatia-ref defaults in the two reusables move past it. No fix for that belongs in a docs PR, and the baseline is not to be acknowledged for it. I am not re-running (deterministic) and will merge main in once the pins move. Every other check on this head is green.


Generated by Claude Code

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hyperpolymath marked this pull request as ready for review October 19, 2026 22:16
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Codex's review of #1309 found six places where v0.2.0 recorded a ruling in
one passage and left the pre-ruling text standing in another. All six are
closed:

- Wave 0 and E2 name the stapeln bundle on owned hardware as the ruled
  deployment target instead of presenting Fly.io as an open choice.
- The Wave 1 heading says two quarters, matching the summary and ruling.
- The Wave 1 deliverables follow the pons-native ruling: the commodity rows
  are pons rules over new grammars in the ruled order; cicd-suite gains no
  new checks, only SARIF output and the normaliser for what already runs.
- Paid-reviewer retention is conditional on each monthly E4 result.
- The k9 work-order contract and its evaluator are a Wave 1 deliverable
  (the ruled prerequisite for any fleet mutation); Wave 5 moves only their
  emission to the office, so Wave 2's dependency is satisfied in order.
- Wave 3's CNO/OND certificates target the interpreter's first work orders,
  not the allowlist the ruling declined.

Gates: asciidoctor --failure-level WARN clean; Debtfile todo-fixme-markers
84; link-rot-guard docs/ 278 before and after; git diff --check clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01PpQVLrCbURpoXtrdvy8V3B

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Comment thread docs/ULTRAPLAN-KAUTZ-LADDER-2026-10-19.adoc Outdated
…e ruling

Codex's second pass on #1309 found the "estate home" column of the
formulaic-checks table still assigning Containerfile to cicd-suite and
hadolint, Guix sanity to the governance reusable, formatting to the
cicd-suite composite and commit/PR shape to a Danger-style cicd-suite rule
set. Under the ruled arm A those are pons rules over new grammars; the
four rows now say so, with the existing cicd-suite composite and
governance probe named only as what they remain until pons covers them.

Gates: asciidoctor --failure-level WARN clean; Debtfile todo-fixme-markers
84; link-rot-guard docs/ 278 before and after; git diff --check clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01PpQVLrCbURpoXtrdvy8V3B

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- Guix row: pons owns the syntactic checks; package-name resolution is a
  `guix build --dry-run` oracle step, orange where Guix is absent, since a
  parse cannot know the catalogue.
- Grammar list: YAML (tree-sitter-yaml; KYAML is a subset) and JSON
  (tree-sitter-json) added, so the KYAML/JSON shape rules have a parser.
- CodeRabbit config: one `reviews.tools.<tool>.enabled: false` per bundled
  tool (no wildcard exists) and the fully qualified
  `reviews.pre_merge_checks.docstrings.mode` path the estate file already
  uses.
- Wave 1 deliverables: `formatting` added as a pons rule; secrets and SCA
  removed from the pons list and the ruling paragraph, since the table
  already homes them in the secret-scanner reusable and Hypatia
  supply_chain, so disabling the vendors' bundled linters uncovers nothing.
- E4 cutoff judged per reviewer, so an ineffective CodeRabbit or Codex is
  ended independently.

Gates: asciidoctor --failure-level WARN clean; Debtfile todo-fixme-markers
84; link-rot-guard docs/ 278 before and after; git diff --check clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01PpQVLrCbURpoXtrdvy8V3B

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claude and others added 2 commits October 19, 2026 22:42
- Config row: canonical-form probes (I-JSON/JCS, KYAML format) stay in the
  governance reusable; shape rules are pons work over the YAML and JSON
  grammars; one owner per concern.
- Option A records its one exception: an exact tool invoked as a yes/no
  oracle inside a pons rule (formatter --check, guix build --dry-run) is
  not a wrapper of another tool's findings; its absence is orange.
- Commit and PR rules get parsers: tree-sitter-gitcommit and
  tree-sitter-markdown pinned.
- K2 estimate: two to three quarters, since rescan-verified outcomes arrive
  only once the Wave 1 evaluator admits its first work orders; E1's replay
  gives a provisional reading but does not claim the rung.
- Codex scoping: AGENTS.md review guidance and an explicit-trigger policy,
  not repo-settings path filters, which Codex does not have.

Gates: asciidoctor --failure-level WARN clean; Debtfile todo-fixme-markers
84; link-rot-guard docs/ 278 before and after; git diff --check clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01PpQVLrCbURpoXtrdvy8V3B

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…rd oracle

Codex's fifth pass on #1309: a grammar can extract a URL but cannot know
whether it resolves, so the external link-rot row needed an oracle like
the formatter and Guix rows. The table row, option A's exception and the
Wave 1 deliverable now name an HTTP reachability probe pons runs itself
(HEAD, then GET on 405; cached; rate-limited), orange when the network is
absent, with lychee only as a falsifier oracle in the corpus.

Gates: asciidoctor --failure-level WARN clean; Debtfile todo-fixme-markers
84; link-rot-guard docs/ 278 before and after; git diff --check clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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…usive month

Codex's sixth pass on #1309:

- No universal `--check` exists (`mix format` uses `--check-formatted`,
  biome formats unless `--write`, as provision-lib.sh already encodes).
  The formatting row carries the per-formatter mapping; option A's
  exception and the Wave 1 deliverable say "non-mutating check mode".
- A month in which a reviewer was invoked on fewer than 20 sampled PRs is
  inconclusive for that reviewer and extends retention by a month instead
  of ending it; the cutoff applies only to a conclusive month. Because
  Codex is explicit-trigger only, E4 must schedule its invocations
  deliberately or Codex could never reach a conclusive month.

Gates: asciidoctor --failure-level WARN clean; Debtfile todo-fixme-markers
84; link-rot-guard docs/ 278 before and after; git diff --check clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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hyperpolymath added a commit that referenced this pull request Oct 20, 2026
… support) (#1315)

## Problem
`governance / Validate Hypatia Baseline` is red on `main` (`b3ce78e`,
run 39340237981) and on every open PR, including #1309, #1310 and #1311.
The only blocking findings are:

```
invalid_actions_lock (workflow_audit, high):     {:line, 4, {:unsupported_version, "v0.0.3"}}
invalid_actions_lock (workflow_hardening, high): actions.lock failed closed: {:line, 4, {:unsupported_version, "v0.0.3"}}
```

The baseline job does not build Hypatia HEAD. Both
`governance-reusable.yml` and `hypatia-scan-reusable.yml` default
`hypatia-ref` to the vetted SHA `51ab6496…` (2026-10-01), and that
commit's lockfile parser accepts only `v0.0.2`. `gh actions-lock` now
writes `v0.0.3`. The lockfile is tool-owned, and this finding is
deliberately not baselinable (#1239, #1305), so the scanner pin is what
has to move.

## Change
Both `hypatia-ref` defaults move from
`51ab6496bf47e30a0576d503df31fec30f3cfe56` to
`aa34a4cc6ba39d873710ff39763fdb9cde715f9d`. They move together, as their
descriptions require. `aa34a4cc` is hypatia `main` after
hyperpolymath/hypatia#938, which adds proper `v0.0.3` support, including
the one field `v0.0.3` introduces (the optional per-dependency
`hostname`). Unknown versions still fail closed.

No `uses:` ref changes, so `actions.lock` is untouched.

## Blast radius (measured, not assumed)
The bump carries every Hypatia commit since `51ab6496` (23 of them,
including the `research_extensions` rules and
hyperpolymath/hypatia#922's finding-shape change), and a pin move broke
every caller once before (hyperpolymath/hypatia#895). So I replayed the
`validate-hypatia-baseline` step locally at both pins on three repos:
scan, path relativisation, then `apply-baseline.sh` with
`BLOCKING_THRESHOLD=info`.

| Repo | Kept at `51ab6496` | Kept at `aa34a4cc` | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| standards (`d55304a`) | 2 × `invalid_actions_lock` | **0** | gate
passes |
| echidna | 2 × `invalid_actions_lock`, 1 `DependencyPinning` | same 3 |
none* |
| hypatia | 2 × `invalid_actions_lock` + 28 pre-existing (RE001/4/5,
WH013) | the 28 | −2 |

(The table leaves out `GS002`/`GS005`, which come from my detached local
checkouts.)

- On all three repos the raw findings only *lose* `invalid_actions_lock`
and the derived `DependencyPinning`. There is no new finding type and no
severity change.
- All emitted severities stay inside `hypatia-scan-reusable.yml`'s
accepted set. The new `support`/`evidence`/`level` finding fields are
additive, and the only `.level` the reusable reads is the SARIF one.
- \*echidna's lockfile now parses, but it has two real dangling edges
(`slsa-framework/slsa-github-generator@f7dd8c54…` and
`hyperpolymath/panic-attack@b689a74d…` are listed under `workflows:`
with no top-level record, the startup-failure case
`scripts/close-lock.sh` documents). That is an echidna repair, not
something this PR changes.

## Checks run locally
- `scripts/tests/governance-reusable-contract-test.sh`: PASS
- `scripts/tests/hypatia-blocking-gate-test.sh`: PASS
- `scripts/tests/apply-baseline-test.sh`: 52 passed, 0 failed
- `scripts/tests/check-workflow-duplicate-keys-test.sh`: 17 passed, 0
failed with mikefarah yq v4.47.2 (checksum-verified). It fails 13/4 on
`main` too when only the Python `yq` is on PATH.
`scripts/check-workflow-duplicate-keys.sh` on both files: clean.
- `actionlint` 1.7.7 on both files: output identical to `main`.
- `yq '.on.workflow_call.inputs."hypatia-ref".default'` → `aa34a4cc…` in
both files.

## After merge
Open PRs (#1309, #1310, #1311) need `main` merged into them. Re-running
their failed jobs won't help, because a re-run reuses the PR's old merge
commit, which still carries `51ab6496`.

---
_Generated by [Claude
Code](https://claude.ai/code/session_01KUZiEB43T3E9fJAXqwbSDm)_

Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
hyperpolymath and others added 2 commits October 20, 2026 13:30
E1 replayed the 214 fix-outcome rows within reach (standards,
verisimdb) with each fixer's own predicate at fixed_at, +7 days and
HEAD: 21 refuted, 109 vacuous, 84 before history, so 0 of 130
checkable "success" rows are confirmed; 21,498 success rows collapse
to 136 distinct keys. It decides that no weight trained on the label
is salvageable. Report and the gitbot-fleet half of Wave 0's true
outcomes: gitbot-fleet#616. Hypatia's own writer remains open.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01PpQVLrCbURpoXtrdvy8V3B
@hyperpolymath hyperpolymath changed the title docs(ultraplan): record the four owner rulings of 2026-10-19 (v0.2.0) docs(ultraplan): record the four owner rulings (v0.2.0) and the E1 result (v0.2.1) Oct 20, 2026
claude and others added 2 commits October 20, 2026 13:19
- Wave 1 work orders keep the Kin gate between evaluation and
  execution (evaluator -> Kin -> robot-repo-automaton -> rescan); the
  interpreter-first rewrite had dropped it.
- External link probe: GET fallback on any non-2xx/3xx HEAD, and an
  SSRF guard (https only; loopback, link-local/metadata, RFC 1918 and
  ULA refused at every hop; redirect, timeout and body caps).
- Guix oracle names its operand (`-m` / `-f guix.scm`).
- Check-only formatters get hunks from a temp-copy diff.
- Nickel keeps its ci-pipeline lane; dead code and unused imports
  outside Python keep the compilers' own diagnostics; the secret
  scanner gains SARIF; tree-sitter-bash pinned for shell headers.
- Tracking list applies the chosen Codex trigger instead of
  reopening it.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01PpQVLrCbURpoXtrdvy8V3B
@hyperpolymath
hyperpolymath enabled auto-merge (squash) October 20, 2026 13:27

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Reviewed commit: 26a4545258

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Comment on lines +284 to +285
|pons `commit-shape` and `pr-convention` rules over the commit message and
PR body as text inputs (ruled 2026-10-19)

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P2 Badge Feed PR-size metadata to the convention rule

When pr-convention is expected to enforce the row's PR-size limit, the declared inputs contain only the commit message, PR body, and parsed PR title, none of which exposes changed-line or file counts. An implementation can therefore satisfy this parser deliverable while silently omitting PR-size enforcement after the vendor convention checks are disabled; add diff/API metadata as an input or remove PR size from the promised check.

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** That is *0 of 130* checkable rows confirmed.
* *Shape of the log.* Across the whole log, 21,498 success rows collapse to 136 distinct keys.
* *Root cause.* The writers record `success` when a fix script exits 0, and the scripts exit 0 after changing nothing. `recipe-remove-believe-me` only annotates.
* *Decides.* No current neural weight trained on this label is salvageable, so all pools restart (as Wave 2 already assumed).

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P2 Badge Limit the E1 decision to the replayed repositories

The replay covers only the 214 rows belonging to standards and verisimdb, while the document says the full log contains 21,498 success rows, so a zero-confirmation convenience sample from two repositories does not establish that labels used by every neural pool are equally unsalvageable. The exit-code-only writer proves that the remaining labels are unverified, not that every trained weight must be discarded; either replay a representative sample from the other repositories or narrow this decision to the inspected data.

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@hyperpolymath
hyperpolymath merged commit 02b1161 into main Oct 20, 2026
47 of 50 checks passed
@hyperpolymath
hyperpolymath deleted the claude/vigilant-turing-94eajv branch October 20, 2026 13:35
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2 participants