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Correct the completed workflow-causation investigation #14

Description

@nothingnesses

This issue records a proposal. Implementation requires a selected work brief and separate execution approval.

Background and problem

D-096 records a completed but uncorrected causation investigation. Its independent critique disputes:

  • Grades.
  • Counts.
  • Causal ranking.

The critique identifies ancestry selection and model confounding.

Neither the original ranking nor a proposed replacement establishes causation.

Proposal

Examine the critique against preserved evidence. Incorporate supported corrections into one sanitised final report.

Distinguish:

  • Observations.
  • Plausible explanations.
  • Unresolved causal claims.
    Keep reset-era controls separate from later controller and planning-loop decisions.

Scope and exclusions

This is the unresolved causation follow-up, not another preservation delivery for the reports merged through PR #9.

This proposal excludes:

  • New experiments.
  • Raw session copies.
  • Private evidence in Git.
  • Changes to unrelated audit records.

The work does not select itself in .agents/work.toml.

Acceptance criteria

  • Each material correction identifies its supporting evidence.
  • Unsupported corrections remain unresolved.
  • Corrected counts and grades have a reproducible basis.
  • The report states ancestry and model confounders.
  • Later choices do not appear as controls available during the historical period.
  • The final report preserves uncertainty and contains no private execution data.

Alternatives and open questions

Retain disputed claims with explicit qualifications when evidence cannot resolve them. Prefer supported correction over a replacement causal ranking under Ground decisions in evidence.

References

Activity

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