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docs(ultraplan): Kautz-ladder programme — market inventory, estate rung audit, waves - #1307

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Summary

Adds docs/ULTRAPLAN-KAUTZ-LADDER-2026-10-19.adoc, a draft programme document, not a ruling. It answers the owner's question: what do the paid code-quality tools sell, which of it is formulaic, where does the estate's own machinery stand on Kautz's neurosymbolic ladder, what is missing, and what should be built first.

What it holds:

  • Market inventory. SonarCloud, Codacy, Codeac, CodeRabbit, Semgrep, Codecov and a dozen others, every feature classed symbolic / neural / hybrid, with pricing and sourced customer sentiment. A table of the formulaic checks the paid bots charge for and the estate home each should have (pons, cicd-suite, the governance reusable, Hypatia).
  • What the estate runs today, measured on standards#1304, feat(verdict-grid): one compact PR verdict for conformance and findings lanes #1295 and gitbot-fleet#615: ~60 of 69 check runs are estate-native and symbolic; CodeRabbit (rationed to one review per hour on the current plan), Codex, SonarCloud, Semgrep Cloud and GitGuardian sit outside every estate database.
  • Subsystem-by-subsystem Kautz classification of Hypatia (rules, the eight neural pools, ProverRecommender, VCL, Reviewer), panic-attack, pons-asinorum, ECHIDNA, gitbot-fleet, cicd-squabbler, cicd-suite, feedback-o-tron, VeriSimDB, oikosbot, trope-checker and the proof repositories, every claim cited to a repo-relative path. Headline: Symbolic[Neuro] in design, purely symbolic in operation; the pools train on a ~99%-synthetic outcome log and the actuator is quarantined.
  • The broken seams: the one line that would connect each disconnected component (true outcomes, verisim-api auth/persistence/Groove mount, the PatternQuery ETS bug, unstable PA identifiers, SARIF emitted by seven producers and ingested by none, the missing (contractiles …) clause in the template deed, HYP-S005 globbing a file the deed migration removed).
  • An estate ladder K0–K6, each rung with a falsifier, and the honest position (K0 with holes; K1 unmeasured).
  • Waves 0–6: truth and plumbing; the formulaic eater (three build options rated on elegance/correctness and dependability/privacy, elegant arm labelled, hybrid recommended with the reason for departing); learning that is real; proof routes via types/tropes/absolute-zero/januskey/ECHIDNA; feedback-o-tron as the SARIF/CSAF/OpenVEX/YARA-X bus; the git-logistics-office and the single fleet executor; new technology placed honestly (NCM identified as Stanford's Next-Concept Modeling, 12 Oct 2026, a post-autoregressive generation scheme, not a new backbone).
  • Experiments E1–E8 and bench B1 to run before bigger work, a beyond-this-repo list, and four owner decisions.

Testing

Check Result
asciidoctor --failure-level WARN clean, no warnings
bash scripts/check-standards-map.sh GATE D PASSED
bash scripts/check-canonical-names.sh origin/main no deprecated names reintroduced
bash scripts/check-canon-lockstep.sh GATE A PASSED
bash scripts/run-mustfile.sh …/Mustfile.a2ml 14 passed, 0 warning, 1 manual, 0 blocking-fail
bash scripts/link-rot-guard.sh docs before / after 278 / 278 BROKEN, no new > line
bash scripts/run-debtfile.sh …/Debtfile.a2ml todo-fixme-markers 84 (the first commit tipped it to 85 by quoting a marker literal; fixed in the second commit); deno-residue 3 > 1 is the known pre-existing breach on main that WO-8 retires
git diff --check clean

Not done

  • .git-private-farm could not be read (a repository name beginning with a dot cannot be attached to an agent session); it is characterised from gitbot-fleet's token-architecture and inbox-steward docs, and the plan's Wave 5 proposes renaming it.
  • Vendor claims rest on search-indexed sources; the session proxy refused direct fetches of arxiv.org and several vendor pages. The sources section says which figures to spot-check before quoting externally.
  • No decision is taken here. The four decisions are listed in the document's last section and put to the owner through the selector in the session.

Generated by Claude Code

…ng audit, waves

Adds docs/ULTRAPLAN-KAUTZ-LADDER-2026-10-19.adoc: a draft programme
document, not a ruling.

What it holds:

- A feature inventory of SonarCloud, Codacy, Codeac, CodeRabbit, Semgrep,
  Codecov and a dozen others, each feature classed symbolic / neural /
  hybrid, with pricing and sourced customer sentiment; a table of the
  formulaic checks the paid bots charge for and the estate home each one
  should have.
- A subsystem-by-subsystem Kautz classification of Hypatia (rules, the
  eight neural pools, ProverRecommender, VCL, Reviewer), panic-attack,
  pons-asinorum, ECHIDNA, gitbot-fleet, cicd-squabbler, cicd-suite,
  feedback-o-tron, VeriSimDB, oikosbot, trope-checker and the proof
  repositories, every claim cited to a repo-relative path.
- The broken seams: the one line that would connect each disconnected
  component.
- An estate ladder K0-K6 with a falsifier per rung, and the honest
  position (K0 with holes; K1 unmeasured).
- Waves 0-6 with deliverables, experiments E1-E8 and bench B1, a
  beyond-this-repo list, and four owner decisions with the elegant arm
  labelled.

Validation: asciidoctor --failure-level WARN clean; check-standards-map
(GATE D) passed; check-canonical-names passed; check-canon-lockstep
(GATE A) passed; Mustfile 14 passed / 1 manual; link-rot-guard docs/
278 before and 278 after (no new BROKEN line); git diff --check clean.
Debtfile reports the two pre-existing breaches on main (WO-8 retires
them); this change adds no probe hit.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01PpQVLrCbURpoXtrdvy8V3B
The template-placeholder row quoted the marker strings themselves, which
tipped the Debtfile todo-fixme-markers probe from 84 to 85 and would have
matched HYP-DOG-001's placeholder scan. The row now describes the tokens
without containing them. Probe re-measured at 84; asciidoctor clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01PpQVLrCbURpoXtrdvy8V3B
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DEED–K9 green

🟢 conformant · commit ebc6dd632b6b · run 39304338094

Category Status Pass Fail Indeterminate N/A Since previous revision
DEED syntax 🟢 conformant 4 0 0 0 — no comparable baseline
K9 contract typecheck 🟢 conformant 1 0 0 0 — no comparable baseline
K9 validator self-test 🟢 conformant 34 0 0 0 — no comparable baseline
K9 positive/negative controls 🟢 conformant 27 0 0 0 — no comparable baseline
K9 live corpus (L0–L2) 🟢 conformant 12 0 0 2 — no comparable baseline
K9 live corpus (L0–L2): 2 finding(s) / scope notes
  • 2-protocols/k9-coordination/examples/minimal.k9 — not_applicable: Routed to another dialect; not validated as a K9 contract.
  • coordination.k9 — not_applicable: Routed to another dialect; not validated as a K9 contract.

Scope: DEED syntax and K9 contracts L0–L2. L3 signature verification and routed coordination dialects are not certified. Green is limited to this scope. Orange is missing evidence; grey is an explicit scope exclusion. Logs and report.json are in the dated conformance-evidence artifact on the linked run.

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@hyperpolymath
hyperpolymath marked this pull request as ready for review October 19, 2026 18:46
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📝 Code Review ✅ Completed 2026-10-19T18:51:32.458515Z ebc6dd6 Draft marked ready
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@hyperpolymath
hyperpolymath merged commit 6079383 into main Oct 19, 2026
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hyperpolymath deleted the claude/vigilant-turing-94eajv branch October 19, 2026 18:47

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Reviewed commit: ebc6dd632b

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Comment on lines +568 to +571
|hypatia-rules HYP-S005 → deed-migrated repos
|The rule globs `STATE.a2ml`, which no longer exists where the deed landed
(rsr-template-repo, absolute-zero); re-target to `(status)` in
`<repo>_chora.deed` via `scripts/deed-field.sh`.

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P2 Badge Preserve CRG inputs when retargeting HYP-S005

For deed-migrated repositories, retargeting this rule only to the deed's (status) clause cannot preserve its behavior: HYP-S005 currently extracts crg-grade and also checks dogfooding-status, external-targets, issues-fed-back, and field-signal (hypatia-rules/crg-overclaim-detector.a2ml:34-39,85-118), none of which has a defined home in (status). The migrated rule would therefore have no grade to classify and would silently stop detecting overclaims; the plan needs to define and populate a deed vocabulary for all these inputs, or name another authoritative source, before removing the STATE-based query.

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Comment on lines +703 to +707
=== Wave 1 — the formulaic eater (one quarter, overlapping Wave 0)

Goal: every row of the "checks to take back" table is an estate check with
SARIF output and HYP-01 evidence, so the paid reviewers can be confined to
the neural slice.

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P2 Badge Implement the checks Wave 1 promises

When Wave 1 is evaluated against this stated goal, it cannot complete: the source table explicitly calls for Elixir coverage/patch coverage and a new flaky-test query over JUnit history (lines 293-303), but the Wave 1 deliverables at lines 755-777 add neither coverage collection nor the oikosbot/VeriSimDB flaky-test implementation. Consequently, declaring Wave 1 complete and restricting paid reviewers would still leave rows that the document itself marks partial or absent; either add those deliverables and their validation or narrow the goal to the subset actually scheduled.

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Comment on lines +763 to +765
* standards: `hypatia-scan-reusable.yml` ingest; `.coderabbit.yaml` profile
that disables bundled linters and pre-merge docstring checks (`reviews.
tools.*.enabled: false`, `pre_merge_checks.docstrings.mode: off`) and

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P2 Badge Use valid CodeRabbit configuration keys

When this deliverable is translated into .coderabbit.yaml, the listed keys will not disable the intended checks: the schema uses reviews.pre_merge_checks.docstrings.mode, while each linter has an individually named key such as reviews.tools.ruff.enabled; it defines no reviews.tools.*.enabled wildcard. The line break inside the first monospace literal also renders whitespace between reviews. and tools. Enumerate the enabled tools and use the fully qualified pre-merge key so Wave 1 actually removes the duplicate paid checks, as documented in the official configuration schema.

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Comment on lines +348 to +350
output* (BugLens, Semgrep Assistant). None of them is type 6. The strongest
are type 2 with a learned proposer — which is the shape Hypatia, panic-attack
and ECHIDNA already have on paper. The literature is on our side; the gap is

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P2 Badge Classify learned proposers consistently as type 3

The systems just described as having a model emit taint specifications, CodeQL queries, invariants, or proof terms for an exact checker match this document's own type-3 definition at lines 333-334 and its K3 “IRIS pattern” at lines 624-631, not type 2. Calling the same architecture type 2 here makes the central literature-to-estate comparison self-contradictory and also incorrectly groups it with Hypatia's symbolic controller calling neural advisers; reclassify the proposer/checker examples as type 3 or explain a distinct control-loop property that makes a particular example type 2.

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Comment on lines +198 to +204
Two observations follow. First, the estate already out-produces every
vendor on *symbolic* checks; the governance reusable alone is a larger rule
set than Codeac's whole product. Second, the three paid or rationed neural
reviewers are doing exactly two things the estate cannot yet do — prose
summaries and intent judgement — and one thing it can (docstring counting),
and they are doing the latter badly (CodeRabbit "8 skipped: 8 unsupported"
languages on #615). This is the credit leak.

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P2 Badge Reconcile the third neural reviewer

The current-state verdict says only CodeRabbit and Codex act on estate PRs (lines 43-47), and experiment E4 measures comments from only those two (lines 779-783), but this conclusion counts three paid or rationed neural reviewers and the later subsystem table includes Copilot review (lines 511-513). If Copilot review is active, omitting it from the actual-run inventory and E4 makes the cost experiment incomplete; if it is not active, the count and subsystem entry are incorrect. State Copilot's deployment status and include or exclude it consistently.

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|pons (deferred rules `document-reference-missing`,
`document-anchor-missing`, `document-reference-placeholder`)
|`lychee` for external; pons for internal with evidence class
|`scripts/link-rot-guard.sh` exists only in standards and reports 443 on main

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P2 Badge Use the measured link-rot baseline

When this plan is used to measure whether Wave 1 reduces link debt, the stated baseline is wrong: running bash scripts/link-rot-guard.sh docs on the reviewed tree reports 278 BROKEN entries, and the commit's own testing record also says 278 before and after, not 443. Using 443 would make a later unchanged or regressed run appear to have improved substantially, so update the count or document the different invocation and snapshot that produced it.

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Status: scan / Hypatia Neurosymbolic Analysis and governance / Validate Hypatia Baseline are red; neither is this PR's.

Both jobs fail on the same two unfiltered findings, read from the job log of run 39304338341:

Rule File Reason
invalid_actions_lock (high) .github/workflows/actions.lock {:unsupported_version, "v0.0.3"} — the pinned scanner (hypatia-ref 51ab6496) rejects the lock format that #1300 regenerated
invalid_actions_lock (high) .github/workflows/actions.lock actions.lock failed closed, same cause

The log mentions this PR's only file, docs/ULTRAPLAN-KAUTZ-LADDER-2026-10-19.adoc, zero times. This is the red that docs/reorg/2026-10-14-tidy/WORK-ORDERS-2026-10-19.adoc records as present on main since #1300. The fix is the two steps that document names: hyperpolymath/hypatia#927 or #928 merges, then the hypatia-ref default in governance-reusable.yml and hypatia-scan-reusable.yml moves to a commit at or after it. Neither step belongs in a docs PR, and acknowledging the finding in .hypatia-baseline.json is ruled out by the same work-orders file. I am not re-running the jobs (the failure is deterministic) and will merge main in once the pins move.

Every other check on the head commit is green (SonarCloud, Semgrep, GitGuardian, CodeQL, Scorecard, all governance jobs, K9-SVC, canonical-JSON, trusted-base, self-tests).


Generated by Claude Code

hyperpolymath added a commit that referenced this pull request Oct 20, 2026
…sult (v0.2.1) (#1309)

## Summary

Follow-up to #1307, which merged the Kautz-ladder ultraplan at v0.1.0
with its four decisions still open. This PR:
- records the rulings the owner gave through the selector on 2026-10-19
(v0.2.0);
- records the first experiment result, E1, on 2026-10-20 (v0.2.1).

It changes one file, `docs/ULTRAPLAN-KAUTZ-LADDER-2026-10-19.adoc`.

| Decision | Ruled |
|---|---|
| Wave-1 build shape | **A, pons-native** (the elegant arm; the
recommendation was the hybrid C) |
| Paid neural reviewers | **Restrict and measure** (as recommended) |
| VeriSimDB deployment target | **stapeln bundle on owned hardware** (as
recommended) |
| Unquarantine policy | **Policy interpreter first; exit 78 stays** (the
elegant arm; the recommendation was the ten-script allowlist) |

Two rulings departed from the recommended arm. Under ADR-007 (elegance
by default: label the departure), their consequences are written into
the waves rather than absorbed:
- **Wave 1 becomes a two-quarter build** with a stated rule order:
  1. consistency-pair and missing-doc-comment;
  2. the deferred document and template rules;
  3. Containerfile and Guix, as new grammars.

The cicd-suite SARIF normaliser is kept only so existing composites and
fleet report-backs reach the grid. E4 is the monthly check that the
credit leak is shrinking as rules land.
- **The ten idempotent fix scripts become the interpreter's first work
orders** rather than an allowlist. Wave 2 starts from E1 and the ESN
schema fix, and retraining waits for true outcomes.
- **verisimdb's `persistent-server-fly` intent** (in its Intentfile) is
noted as superseded, for the owner to retire there. This PR touches no
other repo.

**v0.2.1, the E1 result:** a new "Results so far" subsection.
- The replayable rows give *0 of 130* checkable "success" rows
confirmed: 21 refuted, 109 vacuous, 84 before the repos' history.
- 21,498 success rows collapse to 136 distinct keys.
- It decides that no weight trained on the label is salvageable.
- It links the report and the gitbot-fleet half of Wave 0's true
outcomes: hyperpolymath/gitbot-fleet#616.

## Testing

| Check | Result |
|---|---|
| `asciidoctor --failure-level WARN` | clean |
| `bash scripts/run-debtfile.sh .machine_readable/Debtfile.a2ml` |
`todo-fixme-markers` 84 (unchanged). `deno-residue` is the known `main`
breach that WO-8 retires. |
| `bash scripts/link-rot-guard.sh docs` | 278 lines, the same as before;
no new BROKEN line |
| `git diff --check` | clean |

## Not done

- The Hypatia lane may still show red for the reason recorded on #1307:
`invalid_actions_lock` on `.github/workflows/actions.lock` (v0.0.3).
`main` has since moved the vetted hypatia-ref (#1315), which this branch
now carries.

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

https://claude.ai/code/session_01PpQVLrCbURpoXtrdvy8V3B

---------

Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
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